BRICS - 2025 Brazil Summit
What Is BRICS?
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BRICS is an informal bloc of emerging economies: Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, now expanded to 11 members.
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Originally coined as "BRIC" by economist Jim O’Neill (2001), institutionalized with the first summit in 2009.
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South Africa joined in 2010.
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BRICS aims to provide a counterweight to Western influence, especially in the World Bank, IMF, UN Security Council, and G7.
Why Is BRICS Expanding?
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Seeks to represent the Global South and reform global governance.
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Expansion aims to increase economic heft and geopolitical influence.
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Recent members include:
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2023: Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, UAE (Argentina declined).
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2024: Indonesia joined;
"Partner Country" status introduced for Belarus, Bolivia, Cuba, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Nigeria, Thailand, Uganda, Uzbekistan.
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Over 30 countries applied to join BRICS in 2024.
Geopolitical Significance of Expansion
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BRICS now accounts for:
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>25% of global GDP
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~45% of global population
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Influence in global conflicts (Ukraine, Gaza), energy markets (Saudi & UAE), and de-dollarization efforts.
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Challenges:
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Internal rivalries: India-China, Saudi-Iran, Egypt-Ethiopia.
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Governance and decision-making complexities.
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Uneven relations with the West.
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Institutions Established by BRICS
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New Development Bank (NDB):
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Headquartered in Shanghai, operational since 2016.
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Offers loans, guarantees, equity to sustainable development & infrastructure.
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Approved $32+ billion across 96 projects.
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Focus on clean energy, transport, sanitation.
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New regional offices in Brazil, India, South Africa, Russia.
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Opened membership to non-BRICS developing countries in 2021.
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Contingent Reserve Arrangement (CRA):
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A currency stabilization fund among BRICS central banks.
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Functions like a mini-IMF during currency liquidity crises.
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Limited to original BRICS countries.
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Key Issues & Internal Challenges
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Russia’s invasion of Ukraine: ICC warrant complicates Putin's participation.
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China-India border disputes: Hinders bloc unity.
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Economic slowdowns in China, Brazil, South Africa.
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Authoritarian vs democratic divides: Iran, Russia vs India, Brazil.
De-Dollarization & Currency Initiatives
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BRICS countries advocate for:
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Reduced dependence on USD.
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Increased trade in local currencies (like CNY, INR).
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Proposal for a common BRICS currency (Lula da Silva).
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Ideas of crypto or currency basket, but feasibility is questionable due to:
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Macroeconomic divergence.
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Lack of fiscal union.
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Dominance of USD in 80%+ of global trade.
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Western Response
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US and EU downplay BRICS as a geopolitical rival.
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Biden: BRICS not seen as a major threat.
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Trump (2025): Called BRICS "dead", threatened 100% tariffs if de-dollarization proceeds.
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EU analysts warn that Global South discontent is growing due to lack of real reform in Bretton Woods institutions.
What’s Next? – 2025 Rio Summit
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Brazil chairs BRICS in 2025.
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Focus areas:
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Reform of global governance systems.
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Enhancing South-South cooperation.
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Notable absentees:
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For the first time China's Xi Jinping is absent (schedule conflict).
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Russia’s Putin (ICC arrest warrant).
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Prospective new members: Azerbaijan, Turkey, Malaysia, etc.